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Showing posts from January, 2019

Russia in Review: December 12, 2018 - January 16, 2019

Russia in Review  is a weekly intelligence summary (INTSUM) produced by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). This ISW INTSUM series sheds light on key trends and developments related to the Russian government’s objectives and its efforts to secure them.  Receive future Russia in Review INTSUM products via-email by signing up for the   ISW mailing list . Reporting Period: December 12, 2018 - January 16, 2019 Authors : Catherine Harris, Darina Regio, and Andrea Snyder Contributor : Matti Suomenaro Key Takeaway: The Kremlin is creating and exploiting opportunities to advance its campaigns aimed at countering the West in multiple theaters including Ukraine, Belarus, and Syria. Russia will continue to use multiple approaches to weaken pro-Western Ukrainian President Poroshenko ahead of the Ukrainian Presidential Elections on March 31, 2019. Russia will similarly continue to pressure Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to sign bilateral agreements that expand the Kr...

Russia's New Tool for Wielding Information

By Mason Clark with Catherine Harris Key Takeaway : The Kremlin took a significant step to enhance the military’s ability to control the information space within the Russian Armed Forces by establishing a Military-Political Directorate within the Russian Ministry of Defense. This Directorate could also support efforts to shape the information space abroad. The U.S. and NATO must recognize that Russia is serious about integrating information operations with both conventional and unconventional military operations down to the lowest levels of combat and adjust their preparations for potential conflict with Russia accordingly. The Kremlin is prioritizing conducting and defending against hybrid operations as part of its broader campaign to modernize the Russian Armed Forces . It is reorienting the military away from preparations for large-scale conventional warfare in favor of increased information and hybrid warfare capabilities as well as programs to counter information campaigns that th...

Syria Situation Report: December 13, 2018 - January 9, 2019

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By ISW's Syria Team and Syria Direct The following graphic marks the latest installment of the Syria Situation Report (SITREP) Map made possible through a partnership between the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and  Syria Direct . The map depicts significant developments in the war in Syria during the period December 13, 2018 - January 9, 2019. Click image to enlarge.

Russia and Iran Prepare For New Syria Battlefield

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By Matti Suomenaro, Samantha Leathley, and Aaron Hesse with Christopher Kozak Key Takeaway : Russia and Iran have begun to exploit the new strategic environment created by the forthcoming withdrawal of the U.S. from Syria ( map ). Russia, Iran, and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad mobilized additional units to the Middle Euphrates River Valley in Eastern Syria in late December 2018. [1] These reinforcements - which included elite units of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) as well as elements of the Russian Armed Forces - are postured to cross the Euphrates River and seize valuable oil-rich terrain currently held by the U.S. Anti-ISIS Coalition and allied Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Russia and Assad also deployed reinforcements to block an imminent offensive by Turkey against the SDF in Manbij in Northern Syria on December 28. These deployments are not included in this graphic’s field of view. The Russo-Iranian Coalition likely intends to deter further gains by Turkish President Recep Ta...